| Name |
Collection |
Comments |
Ratings |
Overall |
Importance |
Clarity |
Funniness |
| Conflict theorists blame ____, but mistake theorists suspect ____. |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
| My trigger-action plan associates ____ with ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| In far mode it looks like ____, but in near mode it looks like ____. |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| The six factors of personality are extroversion, neuroticism, conscientiousness, openness to experience, agreeableness and ____ |
Main |
2 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| The six foundations of morality are care, fairness, loyalty, authority, sanctity, and ____ |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What am I doing with my 80,000 hours? |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
| What do I think I know, and how do I think I know it? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Why do I believe what I believe? |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Where do my beliefs come from? |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| What are the most important problems of your field? Why aren't you working on them? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| What are the most important problems in your life? Why aren't you working on them? |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| ____ is pica for ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
| Meh, I'll just satisfice on ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| When you steelman it, ____ is surprisingly informative. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What am I optimizing for? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| How did I solve the AI Alignment problem? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Why didn't that study replicate? |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| By lucky coincidence, I was born with correct beliefs about ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
| What didn't I understand until Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal explained it? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Less Wrong is not a cult so long as our meetups don't include ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
| What is my BATNA? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| What is Moloch incentivizing? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| My model of you likes ____. |
CutPile |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| What did Aristotle think was made of four elements? |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| What am I having trouble explaining to my parents? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ is what ____ feels like from the inside. |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Why haven't I signed up for cryonics? |
Main |
2 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
| Cogito ergo ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What should we taboo? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Why isn't our group more gender balanced? |
CutPile |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| In the future, Eliezer Yudkowsky will be remembered for ____. |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Why is religion popular? |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| During the Cuban missile crisis, disaster was narrowly averted by ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| I'm good at self-deceiving about ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| The thirteenth virtue of rationality is ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mainstream philosophy has settled the question of ____ once and for all. |
Main |
|
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|
|
| Optimize ____ and ____ separately. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What cures anosognosia? |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The universe is a simulation trying to figure out ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Quantified Self people have finally figured out how to measure ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ is burdensome to your explanation of ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What is someone on the internet wrong about? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ is a special case of ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| I want to want ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What do I have reliable intuitions about? |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Correlation does not imply ____ either. |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Why don't I think I have free will? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ is the mind killer. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What am I paying Beeminder for? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Instrumental rationality is the art of winning at ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What is very high status? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What do I find offensive? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ add(s) up to normality. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What's responsible for the Great Silence? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Instead of predictions, I make my beliefs pay rent in ____. |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| What is the thing most likely to wipe out humanity in the next 50 years? |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| Humans are ____ executors, not ____ maximizers. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| What do my beliefs and aliefs disagree about? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What should I goal factor next? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ prove(s) that people don't really care about ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ is not about ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| The first guard always lies. The second guard always tells the truth. What is in the third guard's pocket? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What am I rationalizing? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| I can handle ____, because I am already enduring it. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Why am I confused? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What should I use spaced repetition to learn about? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Absence of ____ is evidence of ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| The coherent extrapolated volition of humanity includes a term for ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| What is your true rejection? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reversed stupidity is not ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Fiction that I've read leads me to believe in ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| I use ____ to procrastinate from ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| ____ is highly correlated with ____. |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| What is made of atoms? |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ is not meta enough. |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What else doubles every 18 months? |
Main |
2 |
2 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Why did my comment get downvoted? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Every ____ wants to be ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| How did my chatbot beat the Turing test? |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Let me tell you my cached thoughts about ____. |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Humans are not automatically strategic unless they have ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What will the universe be tiled with? |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
| What do the Blues and the Greens disagree about this time? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ____ will kill you because you are made of ____ that it can use for something else. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| How can we find objective moral truth? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| How did the AI convince me to let it out of the box? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The peak-end rule means we should conclude this game with ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| You make a compelling argument for ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Let me not become attached to ____ I may not want. |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
| That which can be destroyed by ____ should be. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| What did I neglect the base rate of? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| What did I mistake regression to the mean for? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| What does my time funge with? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What is my comparative advantage? |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| What am I feeling guilty about? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| If you speak too much of ____, you will not attain it. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| When the singularity comes, ____ will not be a problem anymore. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Center for Applied Rationality was forced to retract the kata on ____. |
Main |
1 |
1 |
|
|
1.0 |
|
| One man's modus ponens is another man's ____. |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| What am I permitted to believe (or believe in)? What does the evidence force me to believe? |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| If there is ____, then I desire to believe that there is ____. If there is no(t) ____, then I desire to believe there is no ____. Let me not become attached to beliefs I may not want. |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Why didn't I pull the lever and divert the trolley? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Modest Epistemology |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Garden of Forking Paths |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Epistemic Spot Checking |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
| The Copenhagen Interpretation of Ethics |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| More Dakka |
Main |
|
1 |
|
5.0 |
4.0 |
|
| A Bad Argument for a True Thing |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| A Concept-Shaped Hole |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Common Knowledge |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Circle of Moral Concern |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Losing the Napkin |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Concentrated Confusion |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Strawberry Fielders |
CutPile |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Annealing |
CutPile |
2 |
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Catastrophizing |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Serenity Prayer |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cliquebots |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hyperbolic Discounting |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Loss Aversion |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Conspicuous Consumption |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LaTeX |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adverse Selection |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Sturgeon's Law |
CutPile |
|
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Hanlon's Razor |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Shibboleths |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Moloch's Offer |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Motte and Bailey Doctrine |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Epistemic Luck |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Maker's Schedule |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Critical Path |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Last Slice Effect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Givewell |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Giving What We Can Pledge |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Giving Only 9% |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| A Singleton |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| A Privileged Hypothesis |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Shutting Up and Multiplying |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Value Drift |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| The Future of Life Institute (FLI) |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Separate Magisterium |
CutPile |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| A Universal Turing Machine |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Eternal September |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kolmogorov Complexity |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Constant Vigilance! |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Asch's Conformity Experiment |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Filter Bubbles |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Fnording |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| Reflective Equilibrium |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell's Teapot |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Dyson Spheres |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Activation Energy |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
| A Veil of Ignorance |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| The Invisible Hand of the Free Market In My Garage |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| The Socratic Method of Preparing Hemlock |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Colorless green ideas, sleeping furiously |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Phlogiston |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dunbar's Number |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Superstimuli |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| An entire lifetime of sunk costs |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| Misaligned Incentives |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mainstream Science Reporting |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
| Sphexishness |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Tapping Out |
Main |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Slate Star Codex |
CutPile |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Applause Lights |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Affective Death Spirals |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Godwin's Law |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Paleo Diet |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| The Most Dangerous Game |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Defecting in the Prisoner's Dilemma |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| People who deserve to suffer from the Just World fallacy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pascal's Mugging |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Robbers Cave Experiment |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| The Obvious Schelling Point |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nootropics |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ontologically basic mental entities |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Anthropic Trilemma |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Reversal Test |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Plausible Deniability |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Meditation |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Scope Insensitivity |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Bostrom delaying the singularity by 37 seconds |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Moore's Law of Mad Science |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Center for Applied Rationality (CFAR) |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Halo Effect |
Main |
|
1 |
|
4.0 |
3.0 |
|
| The Tegmark Level 4 Multiverse |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
| Fungibility |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| The Flynn Effect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Watching television for 20 hours per week |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Polyamory |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Inaccessible Injokes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Incorrect Contrarians |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Dunning-Kruger Effect |
Main |
2 |
2 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
| Deontology |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Magical Reality Fluid |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Utilons |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| The Replication Crisis |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Slytherin |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
| Renaming salt to electrolytes so people will forget it was demonized |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| A Large Bid-Ask Spread |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| The fraction of the words you hear which are advertisements |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| The marginal cost of saving a human life |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Polyphasic sleep's side-effects |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| Failure to take obvious safety precautions |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| Taking drugs without reading about them on the internet first |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Arbitrage |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Efficient Market Hypothesis |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| The outside view of divorce rates |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reference Class Tennis |
Main |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| The Placebo Effect |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
| Inferential Distance |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Choosing the last card you read because of recency bias |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| SL4 |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Weirdtopia |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Quantum Immorality |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| A Perfectly Inelastic Demand Curve |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Phineas Gage's Free Will |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
| Meta |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tit-for-Two-Tats |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An extremely improbable Everett branch |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Valley of Bad Rationality |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The fact that there's an awful lot of cards about confirmation bias |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
| Rationalist Taboo |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| The set of all possible fetishes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Humility |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Murphy-Jitsu |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Pre-Hindsight |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The sort of person who would make the fundamental attribution error |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Zeno's Paradox/Inability to Foresee the Invention of Calculus |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Necessary and Sufficient Conditions |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| A Human-Sized Skinner Box |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| Failing to hold off on proposing solutions |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Curiosity |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Analogies between post-singularity scenarios and religious terms |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reedspacer's Lower Bound |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Failing at Aumann Agreement |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Assigning Probability 1.0 to a Falsehood |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Backward Thumb of Topic Return |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
| Double Illusion of Transparency |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Tunguska Event |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Conjunction Fallacy on a Monday |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Vicious but Accurate Ad Hominem |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mainstream Philosophy |
Main |
|
1 |
|
|
|
3.0 |
| The Hawthorne Effect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Scientific Method |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kaizen |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The morality of replicating the Stanford Prison Experiment |
Main |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| String Theory |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| System 1 |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
| System 2's beliefs about homosexuality |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Seemingly Valid Proof of Friendliness |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Malthusian Hellhole |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Spending hours arguing with an obvious crackpot |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| Cognitive Dissonance |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Deathism |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| My Karma Score |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Confabulation |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Unfriendly Artificial Intelligence |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Making philosophical claims about life being meaningless instead of quitting a meaningless job |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Making an essay seem more impressive by writing unclearly |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Actually Trying |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Referring to themself in the Third Person |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Tsuyoku Naritai! |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Typical Mind Fallacy |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| The Fallacy of Gray |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| Betteridge's Law of Headlines |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Spending Hundreds of Billions of Dollars on a Bad Spacecraft Design |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
| Solomonoff Induction |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Schelling Fence |
Main |
|
1 |
|
5.0 |
|
|
| Confidence Intervals |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The sound made by a tree falling in a forest |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bitcoins |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| Nonapples |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Socratic Ducking |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Overall Competence of the United States Government |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Information Cascade |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| 1.8 Deaths Per Second |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Secrecy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Blind Idiot God, Evolution |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Straw Manning |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| P = NP = 6* |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Being so busy attacking logical fallacies you never learn or do much |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Unhappy Negative Utilitarians |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| The Control Card |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Astronomical Waste |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Updating |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Effective Altruism |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Aubrey de Grey's Beard |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rationalist Clopfic |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Sequences |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Paranoid Debating |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Recursive Self-Improvement |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Signaling |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Fetish for the Uncanny Valley |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Low-Hanging Fruit |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Compartmentalization |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Waiting until technology is indistinguishable from magic, and being a motherfucking sorcerer |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Akrasia |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The Sokal Affair |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Good Virtue Ethicist |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dark Arts |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| This Card |
Main |
|
1 |
|
1.0 |
|
2.0 |
| Pretending to be Wise |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Deepity |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Paperclips |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Explore-Exploit Tradeoff |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| An Insecure AI Box |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Absurdity Heuristic |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Rejection Therapy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regulatory Capture |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Conservation of Expected Evidence |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Ontological Crisis |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Babyeaters |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Atoms |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Wireheading |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Winter Solstice |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rare diseases in cute puppies |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Modafinil |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anti-Epistemology |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Goodharting |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Being insane, pretending to be (sane, pretending to be insane) |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3^^^3 Dust Specks in Peoples' Eyes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Appeal to Nature |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Especially Cute Utility Monster |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| The Repugnant Conclusion |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Consequentialism |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Milgram Experiment |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Planning Fallacy |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Treating Arguments As Soldiers |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Not knowing about the concept of unknown unknowns |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Conservation of Virtue |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Negentropy |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| One Micromort |
Main |
1 |
1 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
| Feeding the Trolls |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Science As Attire |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Bystander Effect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Crashing and dying on a road trip because of a fear of airplane crashes |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| Adding a drop of fruit juice to soda so that people can pretend it's healthy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bad Epistemic Hygiene |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| Crocker's Rules |
Main |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Counterfactual Hugging |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Timeless Decision Theory |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Mind Projection Fallacy |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Tripleism |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Useless Charity With Low Overhead |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Putting the word "rational" in front of everything |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
| A P-Zombie's Brains |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Taboo Trade-Offs |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Learned Helplessness |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Three Jupiter-Masses of Computronium |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Decision Paralysis |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Being Overly Literal |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ADBOC |
CutPile |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| An academic journal of nothing but type 1 errors |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| The Fixed Mindset |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Growth Mindset |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Truth |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Logical Rudeness |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| False Rejection |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| True Rejection |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Double Crux |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| A graph with its origin not at zero |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
| The Sanity Waterline |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anchoring Bias |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Trillion Ems Playing Farmville |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cached Thoughts |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Data Dredging |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Derivative Fallacy |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Doing chores instead of making $500/hr |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
| Hunting for Unknown Unknowns |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Regression to the Mean |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Forty Two |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Sexist Playing Card Rules |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Not Noticing Confusion |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Friendly Artificial Intelligence |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CoZE |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A p-value less than 0.05 |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Not De Morgan Or Not Theorem |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Positive Reinforcement |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Fun Theory |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| The Environment of Evolutionary Adaptation |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Applied Theology |
Main |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| A map which does not match the territory |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The political ideologies of people who don't understand game theory, economics, or politics |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Procrastinating by reading about how to overcome procrastination |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Löbstacle |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Simulation Hypothesis |
Main |
|
1 |
|
3.0 |
3.0 |
|
| Asperger's Syndrome |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Universal Instrumental Values |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Ridiculously Complicated Zendo Rule |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Disastrous Nash Equilibrium |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eliezer Yudkowsky |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adding pigment to your nanobots so they won't be gray goo |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semantic Stopsigns |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Orgasmium |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ugh Fields |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cargo Cult Science |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The Least Convenient Possible World |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Less Wrong |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Umeshisms |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| Social norms governing the creation of new social norms |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Priming |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The ability to change one's mind |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Neurotypicals |
Main |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| ELIZA |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Defection Rock |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Intentionality |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Godel's Incompleteness Theorem |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| An Excessively Indirect Plan |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Bayesian Conspiracy |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Guessing the Teacher's Password |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Quirinus Quirrell |
CutPile |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| The Copenhagen Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Clippy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Status |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
| Hypochondria |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Douglas Hofstadter's Self-Image |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vasili Arkhipov |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Stanislav Petrov |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Liking and endorsing, but not wanting |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| The Future of Humanity Institute (FHI) |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Meta-Truthers |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tearing Down Chesterton's Fence |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Being Deterred by Trivial Inconveniences |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The amount of time each week spent thinking about perceptual control theory |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| DeepMind |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Outright Fraud |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Social Justice Movement |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ask Culture |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Logical Uncertainty |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Worst Argument in the World |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Countersignaling |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| A Fully-General Counter-Argument |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Comparative Advantage |
Main |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| The Pareto Frontier |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| First Past the Post Voting |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| Checklists |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Baader-Meinhof Effect |
CutPile |
1 |
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| K-Selection |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The opportunity cost of playing this game right now |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hugularity |
Main |
|
1 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| An argument that proves too much |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anthropics |
Main |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| Not being allowed to remarry because your spouse is cryopreserved |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Effective altruists living in cardboard boxes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Everything |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| How dare you ask that question! |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Trigger Warnings |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Structured Procrastination |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Elevator gate |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Diminishing Returns on Self-Copying |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Daryl Bem's Paper on ESP |
Main |
1 |
1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| My Erdos Number |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Acting Like An NPC |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Homo Economicus |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kleptocracy |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bayes Theorem |
Main |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| The Theology of Rev. Thomas Bayes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Negative Externalities |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The slippery slope fallacy/water park |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Feeling like a two-headed coin is due to come up tails |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cultishness |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Painting the bike-shed an ugly color |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The bicameral mind hypothesis |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Hedonic Treadmill |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| Nerd Sniping |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| The Red Queen |
Main |
|
1 |
|
5.0 |
5.0 |
|
| The Forer Effect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Futarchy |
Main |
1 |
2 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| Something Outside the Overton Window |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An overly large identity |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Inoculation Effect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Evidence that something is evidence that there is evidence of something |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Virtue of Silence |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Toxoplasma Memes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Learned Blankness |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Insight Addiction |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ego Depletion |
FailureToReplicateEdition |
1 |
1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
| Using Intelligence to Defeat Itself |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Way of the Void |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Punmanship |
CutPile |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Motivated Skepticism |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Value of Information |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Salary Negotiation |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Outgroup |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| MealSquares Dipped in Soylent |
Main |
1 |
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Majoring in Underwater Basket-Weaving |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
| Causefabulation |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Two Steps Down the Countersignaling Hierarchy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Setting a timer and thinking about it for five minutes |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| The Shirky Principle |
CutPile |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
| Clarke's First Law |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hill Climbing |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The DSM-5 |
CutPile |
|
1 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
| Corrigibility |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
| Anti-Inductiveness |
Main |
|
1 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| What's the best new EA cause area? |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
| The Taste of Lotus |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Studying for an Ideological Turing Test |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Interpretive Labor |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| OODA Loops |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Orthogonality of Value |
UnfinishedDrafts |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| One Hundred Prisoners Wearing Colored Hats |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Civilizational Inadequacy |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Incentivizing People to Deceive You |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Precisely Aligned Test Card |
CutPile |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Decouplers vs Contextualizers |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Legibility |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reverse Haggling |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Noble Lies, Backfiring in Exactly the Way You'd Expect |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Noble Lies, Backfiring in Exactly the Way You'd Expect |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Treacherous Turn |
Main |
|
1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
| Badproxing |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Conjugation |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gell-Mann Amnesia |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adversarially Selected News Stories |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Misleading Paraphrase Placed In Quotation Marks |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Mesa-Optimizer |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mazedom |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Simulacrum Hierarchy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Finding Out That You Are Inside of a Counterfactual |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Outcome Pump |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Track Record of Incorrect Predictions About COVID-19 |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Layperson Comments On A News Article About Nuclear Power |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What's the biggest difference between Earth and Dath Ilan? |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Dath Ilani Head Remover |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Neural Net's Adversarial Examples |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Losing your shirt in the prediction markets |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Superforecasters |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An asshole, presented as representative of the left to make conservatives angry |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Five-and-Ten Problem |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Only Thinking About Trains |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Testing on the Training Set |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Falsehoods Hidden in Presuppositions |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Regression to the Mean Diet |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Curated Selection of Shoulder Advisors |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Convergent Evolution |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Seeing the Smoke |
CutPile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Stag Hunts |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Fermi Estimation |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Preregistered Methodology |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What should I be glomarizing about? |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Tails Coming Apart |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Voting Theory Conference Selecting a Voting System for the Vote On Which Voting System Is Best |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tacit Knowledge |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The VNM Coherence Axioms |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Ontologically Fundamental Banana |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Homomorphic Encryption |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Seeing the Smoke |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| If you study ___ enough, you will gain a gears-level understanding of ___. |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Compelling-Sounding Anecdote That Collapses Upon Close Inspection |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mass-Production of Business Identities |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Self-Fulfilling Cynicism |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Standardized Testing |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Poe's Law is a real problem when discussing ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Children Drowning in Ponds |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Accessible Debates About Inaccessible Fields |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Improperly Timed Melatonin |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Literal Low-Hanging Fruit |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Incorrect Usage of the Word "Literally" As A Generic Intensifier |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Empty Humor |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Stage Magic |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| University Court Politics |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Test That Only Cheaters Can Pass |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Symbolic Actions With No Effect |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Highly Prestigious Pseudoscience |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Psychoanalyzing Your Way to the Truth |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Edge Instantiation |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Indirect Effects |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Microwave Nukes |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Geeks, MOPs, and Sociopaths |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Optimized Vocabulary |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bucket Errors |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Systems Thinking |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Things Seeming True Because They Rhyme |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Perceived Importance of Someone Being Wrong on the Internet |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Recommendation Algorithm Trained on a Much Dumber Population |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Citations That Don't Match the Cited Claim |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Fixating on How Wrong Homeopaths Are |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Syllable Counts |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Legalistic Definition of Evidence |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickrolling the Other Players of This Game |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Immoral Maze |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Claiming That Artificial General Intelligence Is Infeasible |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cards Against Humanity |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Villain-Shaped Hole |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Human minds have a ____-shaped hole. |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lies We Tell to Children |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Lizardman Constant |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Neologisms |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Deadliest Nocebo |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Urban Legends |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nonvisualizers |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Conformism |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Malicious Genie |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| In my culture, we have less of ____ and more of ____. |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Undiscriminating Skepticism |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Optimizing Absolutely Everything |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Insufficiently Absurd Humor |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Peter Principle |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Euphemism Treadmill |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Literal Heresy |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 80/20ing a Celebration of 4/20 |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| What do I need more affordances for? |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Feeling of Againstness |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aversion Factoring |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cognitive Bias |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Black Swan |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Blindsight |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Boggling At It |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Calibration Training |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Declarative Knowledge About Bicycle-Riding |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Actual Marshmallow Test |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Idea Innoculation |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| My Inner Simulator |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| An Intuition Pump |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mundanification |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Overlearning |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Popperian Virtue |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Project Eggplant |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Belief Propagation |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Having Something to Protect |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Spoons |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Verbal Overshadowing |
Unsorted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Goal Kiting |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Decision Fatigue |
FailureToReplicateEdition |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Interpretive Labor |
UnfinishedDrafts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sci-Fi Author: In my book I invented ____ as a cautionary tale. Tech Company: At long last, we have created ____, from the classic sci-fi novel Don't Create ____. |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Difficulty Drawing Hands |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| I have been a good Bing. 😊 |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Deep Commitment to Truth |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Sharp Left Turn |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| A Sazen |
Main |
|
|
|
|
|
|